Yeah, even I who isn't that knowledgeable in this department still kind have the same feeling regarding that part.
I don't know why.
There was no shortage of 2000 series cards. There was no shortage of Pascal cards, or Maxwell cards. There has never been a shortage of anything leading to scarcity in all of the time I can remember.
Ampere dropped during a pandemic, with terrible yields and god knows what else. I don't expect that to be the same for the next series, especially with TSMC at the helm.
Expensive? maybe. Scarce? I doubt it. We are not in a pandemic any more and people are crashing back to their financial reality.
You also need to see the market around you. There are cards in stock everywhere. Absolutely everywhere. What do you think retailers will do with those? send them back to Nvidia etc? lol not a chance. How do you think that big pile of stock will play out when a new card comes out? I will tell you.
Scarce or not the 4000 series are going to have a lot of competition. Mainly from the 3000 series that are over stocked everywhere right now. Those need to be sold, especially if a new card comes out. Mostly because they are not really desirable any more. Especially over two years after they launched. Why do you think the 3000 cards and Radeons out there are not flying from shelves now that they are available at much lower prices?
Either those who wanted them have them, or the buzz has worn off, or we are coming out of the pandemic and people are returning to reality. Either way? they'll be sold off for peanuts.
This used to happen all the damn time. I bought a GTX 480 from OCUK for £270 down from £450 about two months after launch. I bought a 6970 Lightning for £189.99 down from £400 shortly after. That is how it used to work. I would wait until one gen was coming to the end and places were selling off the previous gen for next to nothing. In the case of the 480? Nvidia had just announced the 580.
And that is how it should work. And has worked for many years. It would have happened too with the 2000 series but did not because it overlapped the 3000 in the pandemic. However, toward the end of the 2000 series before the 3000 were announced? dude I bought a 2070 non super for £300 or less. EVGA had just announced the 2060 with the cut back 2080 die for around £250 was it? and things were looking good.
And when Intel come into the arena? they will be making as much noise as humanly possible. And most of that noise will be cut prices to get people on board. Meaning the other two? will have to follow suit.
It's almost a buyer's market again. Hang in there
