Why use projections when we now have real figures for this time period? Iran already reached ~15% power generation by hydropower in points of 2019, with on average 10% of their power coming from hydro alone in 2019, twice their pre-2017 targets for 2021. As your data points out, their current issue is not willpower, or targets that they don't intend to meet. Their current key issue is lack of funding and droughts impacting their existing investments.
True, our energy market is a mess here since Thatcher's privatisation, it is now back to a Big Six oligopoly maintained by an illusion of competition. British energy companies don't actually have to do anything useful at all, they simply "buy energy" on the wholesale market and resell it to consumers at a profit, a very abstract and silly process that essentially means they can siphon off money from British consumers while delivering nothing of value, hence why British tax payers have funded so much of France's Nuclear power infrastructure via EDF. No small competitors can join and survive because there's no way for them to compete, except for selling energy at a loss, which is unsustainable for all but the largest six companies.
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